Home groan: China’s housing-sector crisis
The Economist Podcasts
Tue, August 22, 2023
Podchat Summary

China's Housing Market in Crisis

In this episode, we delve into the current crisis facing China's housing market, which accounts for about 30% of the country's GDP. We discuss the struggles major developers are facing in repaying debts and completing construction projects, with a particular focus on Country Garden, one of China's largest developers. The recent missed coupon payment by Country Garden has caused panic not only in the housing market but also across markets in China. We explore the origins of the housing crisis, which can be traced back to the government's crackdown on leverage in the sector in 2020, resulting in the downfall of companies like Evergrande.

One of the key issues we examine is Country Garden's liabilities, including prepayments from average people who have invested in homes that have not yet been built. This potential problem for the company and the government raises concerns about the overall stability of the housing market. We also discuss the government's efforts to address the crisis, such as providing funds for local governments to continue building homes and supporting smaller bailouts instead of bailing out one big company. However, the negative impact on the Chinese economy has already been felt, and we explore the potential consequences if the crisis continues.

The Rise of Self-Driving Taxis in San Francisco

In this segment, we shift our focus to the growing presence of self-driving taxis in San Francisco. Companies like Waymo and Cruise are leading the way in offering autonomous taxi services, and we discuss the mixed reactions to this technological advancement. While self-driving taxis have the potential to revolutionize transportation, concerns about safety, job displacement, and inconvenience caused by the taxis have been raised.

We explore the current financial landscape for self-driving taxi companies, noting that they are not yet making significant profits. However, we discuss the potential revenue streams through ride charges and in-car entertainment systems. As self-driving taxis become more common in San Francisco, we delve into the implications for the future of transportation and the broader societal impact of this emerging technology.

The Disappearing Antarctic Sea Ice

In our final segment, we turn our attention to the alarming decrease in Antarctic sea ice levels. Even during the winter season when the ice should be expanding rapidly, it is at an all-time low. We examine the possible causes behind this phenomenon, considering both long-term factors such as climate change and temporary factors like unusual wind and wave patterns.

We discuss the potential consequences of the disappearing sea ice, particularly its impact on glaciers and ice shelves in Antarctica. The accelerated loss of these ice formations could contribute to increased global sea levels, posing significant challenges for coastal regions around the world. We explore the scientific research and ongoing efforts to understand and mitigate the effects of this concerning trend.

Original Show Notes

Once again, fears are ripping through the industry—this time starting from a firm once thought too big to fail. In an economy so dependent on housebuilding, that will have wide-ranging consequences. We take a ride in one of the autonomous taxis that have flooded onto San Francisco’s streets (10:22). And crunching the numbers on Antarctica’s worrisome dearth of sea ice (19:40). 


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